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Myanmar: no light on the horizon
The prospect of popular ‘democratic’ revolution displacing the military in Myanmar looks increasingly remote. Veteran analyst Andrew Selth argues the more likely scenario is for Myanmar to lurch back into isolation as a poor, “bitterly divided and broken-backed authoritarian state”.
What next for Myanmar’s blundering army bosses?
As fighting in Myanmar between the army, armed ethnic groups and civilians drags on, there appears little prospect of a peaceful compromise to end the bloodshed. Professor Nicholas Farrelly argues the military’s model of co-option of pliant civilians worked for a time but there is increasingly no way back to that experiment in quasi democracy.
Myanmar’s protests now a revolutionary cause
Myanmar’s protest movement is fighting back against the army coup with urban guerrilla warfare tactics, turning passive resistance into armed revolution. The outlook, writes former ambassador Nicholas Coppel, is a bleak and increasingly bloody situation that will require facilitated mediation.
U.S.-Vietnam post-war reconciliation: a work in process
Forty-five years after the cessation of the Vietnam War, relations behind Vietnam and the U.S. have improved markedly. But, as Dr Ivan V. Small writes, some issues, such as the legacy of Agent Orange and relations with former refugees, require delicate handling.
Fighting COVID-19: China's soft power opportunities in mainland Southeast Asia
In mainland Southeast Asia, the Chinese government’s effective measures to curb the pandemic outbreak at home and the provision of COVID-19 assistance to regional countries have enhanced China’s soft power. And as Dr Chheang Vannarith, Visiting Fellow at ISEAS – Yusof Ishak Institute, writes, most of the mainland Southeast Asian countries, except Vietnam, have been receptive to China’s COVID-19 diplomacy.