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ASEAN’s snub to Myanmar junta a sign of change
ASEAN has decided not to invite a political representative of Myanmar’s military regime to its annual summit, instead promising to give the seat to a ‘non-political representative’. Former ambassador Nicholas Coppel writes that this modest break with ASEAN’s tradition of non-interference is unlikely to bring about change, but it can help.
Could defections threaten the survival of Myanmar’s military regime?
Myanmar's generals have been shaken by a string of defections from the security forces, but this does not spell the end of the military regime. Andrew Selth argues it would take the defection of high-ranked officers and major combat units to seriously weaken the junta's grip on power.
China’s loss can be Southeast Asia's gain
As China's role in the global economy changes, companies are increasingly reconsidering its role as the world's manufacturing hub and moving to less expensive destinations in the region. As Keun Lee writes, for many Southeast Asian countries, "China's loss is their gain".
The future of Australia's middle-power diplomacy after AUKUS
The new AUKUS agreement marks an important shift in Australia’s long-term strategic positioning. But Thomas Parks argues that it does not mean an end to Australian middle-power diplomacy. Australia needs to grow its role as a “proactive, pragmatic, autonomous” power in the Indo-Pacific and deepen relations with “critical partner” ASEAN.
The Taliban victory in Afghanistan inspires the “forever dream” of Islamic states in Asia
The military victory of the Taliban in Afghanistan has far-reaching consequences for Australia’s immediate region, writes Greg Barton. Its inspirational influence promises to shape and drive the growth of jihadism across Southeast Asia, and globally, in pursuit of the “forever dream” of Islamic states.